A SMART convergence research approach kuti ive nechokwadi chekubatanidzwa mukugadzira kutarisa uye kuchenjerera hurongwa hwekupa ruzivo rwekutanga rweyambiro kuderedza njodzi.Chikwereti: Natural Hazards uye Earth System Sayenzi (2023).DOI: 10.5194/nhess-23-667-2023
Kuita nharaunda mukugadzira chaiyo-nguva yekutanga yambiro system inogona kubatsira kudzikisa kazhinji-inoparadza kukanganisa kwemafashama pavanhu nemidziyo-kunyanya munzvimbo dzine makomo umo zviitiko zvemvura zvakanyanya idambudziko "rakaipa", chidzidzo chitsva chinoburitsa.
Mafashama ari kuramba achiwanda uye achikuvadza hupenyu uye zvinhu zvevanhu vanotambura, asi vaongorori vanotenda kuti kushandisa nzira yeSMART (ona mufananidzo uri pamusoro) kuita nevanogara munzvimbo dzakadai kunobatsira kuratidza zvirinani njodzi kubva kumafashama.
Masayendisiti anotenda kuti kubatanidza ruzivo rwemamiriro ekunze neruzivo rwekuti vanhu vanogara uye vanoshanda sei munzvimbo dzakadai, zvichabatsira maneja enjodzi, ma hydrologists, uye mainjiniya kugadzira nzira dziri nani dzekusimudza alarm pamberi pemafashama makuru.
Vachiburitsa zvavakawana muNzvimbo Yenjodzi nePasi System Sayenzi, boka rekutsvagisa pasi rose rinotungamirwa neYunivhesiti yeBirmingham rinotenda kuti kubatanidza sainzi, mutemo uye nzira dzinotungamirwa nenharaunda zvichabatsira kugadzira sarudzo dzezvakatipoteredza dzinonyatsoenderana nemamiriro enzvimbo.
Mumwe munyori anonzi Tahmina Yasmin, Postdoctoral Research Fellow paYunivhesiti yeBirmingham, akati, "Dambudziko 'rakaipa' idambudziko remagariro kana tsika yakaoma kana isingagoneki kugadzirisa nekuda kwekuoma kwayo, kwakabatana. Isu tinotenda kuti kubatanidza sainzi yemagariro uye meteorological data ichabatsira kuona zvisingazivikanwe zvikamu zvepuzzle kana uchigadzira yekutanga yambiro system.
"Kuita zvirinani nenharaunda uye kuongorora magariro anoonekwa nenharaunda iri panjodzi - semuenzaniso, kugara zvisiri pamutemo padivi penzizi kana zvitangwena - zvichabatsira avo vanotyaira mutemo kuti vanzwisise zviri nani njodzi dzinounzwa neaya hydrometeorological kunyanyisa uye kuronga mhinduro yemafashama uye kudzikisira izvo zvinopa nharaunda. nekudzivirirwa kwakavandudzwa."
Vatsvagiri vanoti kushandisa nzira yeSMART kunobatsira vanogadzira marongero kufumura kusagadzikana kwenharaunda nenjodzi, nekushandisa seti yemisimboti yakakosha:
● S= Kunzwisisa kwakagovaniswa kwenjodzi kuona kuti boka rega rega revanhu munharaunda rinomiririrwa uye nzira dzakasiyana siyana dzekuunganidza data dzinoshandiswa.
● M= Kuongorora njodzi uye kumisa masisitimu ekunyevera anovaka kuvimba uye kuchinjanisa ruzivo rwakakomba rwenjodzi-kubatsira kuchengetedza hurongwa hwekufanotaura.
● A= KuvakaAchenjedzo kuburikidza nekudzidziswa uye zviitiko zvekusimudzira kugona izvo zvinobatidza kunzwisisa kwechaiyo-nguva mamiriro ekunze uye ruzivo rwemafashama.
● RT= Kuratidza kufanorongaResponse actions onTime ine yakazara manejimendi enjodzi uye zvirongwa zvekubuda kubva payambiro inogadzirwa neEWS.
Co-munyori David Hannah, Muzvinafundo weHydrology uye UNESCO Sachigaro muMvura Sayenzi paYunivhesiti yeBirmingham, akati, "Kukudziridza kuvimba kwenharaunda mumasangano ehurumende uye kufungidzira kwakanangana nehunyanzvi, tichishandisa nzira dzinotungamirwa nenharaunda kuunganidza ruzivo mumakomo-asina data. matunhu akakosha mukuchengetedza vanhu vanotambura.
"Kushandisa nzira iyi ye SMART yekubatanidza nharaunda mukugadzira masangano ekutanga akabatanidzwa uye ane chinangwa pasina mubvunzo achabatsira kukudziridza kukwanisa, kugadzirisa, uye kusimba pamberi pemvura yakanyanyisa yakanyanyisa, yakadai semafashamo uye kusanaya kwemvura, uye kuwedzera kusava nechokwadi pasi pekuchinja kwenyika."
Mamwe mashoko:Tahmina Yasmin et al, Kukurukurirana kupfupi: Kubatanidzwa mukugadzira yambiro yekutanga yekusimba kwemafashama, Njodzi Dzakasikwa uye Earth System Sayenzi (2023).DOI: 10.5194/nhess-23-667-2023
Provided byYunivhesiti yeBirmingham
Nguva yekutumira: Kubvumbi-10-2023